2011年8月7日 星期日

Real Madrid Vs Barcelona (28 April 2011 Champions League)

28 April 2011

Real Madrid Vs Barcelona

In soccer betting, I devide all participants involved in the soccer betting market into Four categories:

The Mild Brain, is the people whom place their bet based on feeling, 75% in the soccer betting market. The Container, is the people whom place their bet based on experience, 20% in the soccer betting market. The Strategist, is the people who will be decide their after the game is running and according to conditions, 4% in the soccer betting market. The Regulator, is the big bankers in the world, 1% in the soccer betting market.

ANALYZE

Asian Odds

Since the first half of the match, 50% of "The Mild Brain" will place their bet on Real Madrid and the other 50% will place their bet on Barcelona. And they will not change the bet if there are not significant changes occured. And I believe that the money involved is very much here, may be about 75% of the total transactions. In the first half The Container will not place their bet, when up to 60 minutes to tie the match results, they will place on Real Madrid. In my opinion, the money involved here is only 10% of the total transactions. The Strategist will wait for results of the match completed the first half, when the results of up to 60 minutes to tie the match result, they will place their money on Barcelona, and the amount of money they will place likely to reach 15% of the total transactions.

European Odds (Home/Draw/Away)

On European Odds, 45% of the total transaction will be plced for the Home, 10% for a Draw and 45% for the Away.

COMPARISON

1.The amount of money on the Asian Odds transactions in the majority placed on the Real Madrid and Barcelona.

2.The amount of money on European Odds transactions in the majority also placed on the Real Madrid and Barcelona.

As usual, The Regulator will await the results of total transactions up to the end of a specified limit. After that we will soon know the results of this rivalry.

PREDICTION

I believe, with the data analysis above, that the results will be end up with a tie.

MY LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE

Real Madrid Win: 1%

Draw : 98%

Barcelona Win: 1%

http://oddsbreaker.weebly.com

(ngerecau@gmail.com)


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